The South China Sea, home to a wealth of oil and natural gas deposits, is the subject of numerous territorial disputes between the People's Republic of China, the Republic of China (Taiwan), Malaysia, Brunei, the Philippines, and Vietnam. Beyond the natural resources in the region, there are also vital international trade routes-- about half of all oil tanker shipments cross the South China Sea-- military bases, and fisheries. China, in particular, continues to increase its military presence in the area and island-building, putting both the region and the United States on alert.
Latest in South China Sea
While wargames offer the possibility of exploring the potential outcomes of a U.S.-China war, they have several shortcomings that must be considered in order to more incisively explore key issues such as deterrence and escalation management.
Shinzo Abe leaves behind an Indo-Pacific legacy; U.S. Navy FONOPS and Pelosi’s Taiwan visit draw China’s ire; unsafe maneuvers a matter of policy for the Chinese military; and more.
Past and present law of the sea jurisprudence suggests that the State Department’s most recent analysis of South China Sea entitlements is legally flawed.
Biden’s ASEAN summit reinvigorates UNCLOS ratification debate, Beijing fails to gain support for Pacific Islands regional security agreement but finalizes controversial pact with the Solomon Islands, and more.
Biden administration delivers 2022 National Defense Strategy; China conducts militarization and secret diplomacy in the South China Sea; AUKUS announces new agreement to develop hypersonic weapons; U.S. and Philippine armed forces revive full-scale Joint Exercise Balikatan following coronavirus pause; and more.
Japan boosts defense spending and emphasizes defense cooperation with the U.S. and Australia as the possibility of a Taiwan emergency grows, while the U.S. makes an economic push in Southeast Asia, and countries in the region continue their maritime defense buildups.
A recent State Department legal analysis highlights the unique roles that the United States plays in interpreting and enforcing maritime law in the South China Sea. This legal diplomacy also illustrates methodological challenges of customary international law.
Continued Chinese interference with the resupply of the Sierra Madre contingent could have unintended consequences that destabilize the region and potentially result in an international armed conflict.
Chinese incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone continue to escalate; Japan makes unprecedented defense pledges, to China’s chagrin; U.S. submarine collision gives China an opportunity to push back on U.S. operations in South China Sea
Biden announces “AUKUS is born,” marking the United States’ continued shift toward the Indo-Pacific, while China implements a new maritime identification law to regulate foreign vessels within its territorial waters.