Kurdish national aspirations in Iraq are collapsing, Trump decertifies the JCPOA but won’t say what he wants to change, and the Islamic State loses its de-facto capital.
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The scope of new measures related to Iran are far more limited than President Trump’s statement would indicate.
Trump can exercise his right to decertify the Iran deal due to policy considerations, not material breach, thanks to Congress.
Trump's focus on the Iran deal misses the bigger issue: the need for a U.S. strategy to persuade Tehran to play a constructive role in the region.
Trump to Decertify Iran Deal, U.S. and Turkey Cut Off Travel Visas, Saudi Arabia Scores Arms Deals with Russia and United States
Trump will send the Iran debate back to Congress, Turkey-U.S. feud over visas has roots in coup attempt, and King Salman’s big trip to Moscow.
To have serious consequences for the JCPOA, decertification requires an additional step: Congress or the White House would have to reimpose sanctions on Tehran.
Backlash to Kurdish Independence Referendum Begins, Trump Has Made Decision on Iran Deal, Russian and U.S.-backed Forces Converge in Syria
Iraq and its neighbors mobilize against Kurdish referendum, Trump won’t tell his allies his plans for the JCPOA, and Russia bombs Syrian Democratic Forces near Deir El-Zour.
Trump May Kick Iran Deal Debate to Senate, the Islamic State’s Bastion Pinched on Two Fronts, the Gulf Crisis Gets Even More Petty
The Trump administration lays out its game plan for decertifying the Iran deal, the Islamic State is being squeezed in Deir Ezzor, and Trump offers to fix the Gulf crisis.
Iran Still Complying with Nuclear Deal, Rebel Coalition in Yemen Bends but Doesn’t Break, U.S. and Hezbollah Fight over Islamic State in Syria
The IAEA disagrees with the Trump administration about Iran’s compliance, Houthi and Saleh loyalists involved in Sanaa streetfighting, and an Islamic State convoy is trapped between Syria’s frontlines.
Assad Regime Strains Russian Ceasefires, Iran Responds to Trump’s Plans for Nuclear Deal, Israeli Officials Snared in Corruption Scandals
Russia can’t wrangle its proxy in Syria to abide by its ceasefire agreements, Rouhani addresses Trump’s wavering commitment to the JCPOA in his inauguration speech, and Netanyahu could be indicted for corruption.